Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Spelle-Venhaus: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Waldsportstätten, Rehden
The Footlab model makes Schwarz-Weiß Rehden the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Spelle-Venhaus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Spelle-Venhaus?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Schwarz-Weiß Rehden (1,790) and Spelle-Venhaus (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwarz-Weiß Rehden have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Spelle-Venhaus have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bersenbrück(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Wolfenbuttel(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Spelle-Venhaus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus 2-2 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Spelle-Venhaus 2-2 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 0-0 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Spelle-Venhaus 3-2 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-2 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Spelle-Venhaus vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden sit 6th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (5 points from 3 matches) and Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Spelle-Venhaus?
- The Footlab model makes Schwarz-Weiß Rehden the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Spelle-Venhaus.
- Where and when is Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Spelle-Venhaus played?
- Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Spelle-Venhaus is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Waldsportstätten, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.