Schwaz vs Lustenau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Silberstadt Arena Schwaz, Schwaz
The Footlab model makes Schwaz the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lustenau. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaz vs Lustenau?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Schwaz (1,606) and Lustenau (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaz have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lustenau have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Imst(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-15 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fügen(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Schwaz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Lustenau 2-2 Schwaz | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Schwaz 4-0 Lustenau | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaz score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaz | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaz sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Lustenau sit 16th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Schwaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaz vs Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Schwaz the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lustenau.
- Where and when is Schwaz vs Lustenau played?
- Schwaz vs Lustenau is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Silberstadt Arena Schwaz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.