Schwaz vs SK St. Johann: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Silberstadt Arena Schwaz, Schwaz
The Footlab model makes Schwaz the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SK St. Johann. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaz vs SK St. Johann?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Schwaz (1,606) and SK St. Johann (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaz have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SK St. Johann have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Imst(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-15 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fügen(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaz score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; SK St. Johann score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaz | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| SK St. Johann | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaz sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and SK St. Johann sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Schwaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | SK St. Johann | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaz vs SK St. Johann?
- The Footlab model makes Schwaz the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SK St. Johann.
- Where and when is Schwaz vs SK St. Johann played?
- Schwaz vs SK St. Johann is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Silberstadt Arena Schwaz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.