SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Zalău
The Footlab model makes SCM Zalău the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Minaur Baia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate SCM Zalău (1,610) and Minaur Baia Mare (1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SCM Zalău have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Minaur Baia Mare have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(away) | 6-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SCM Zalău win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Minaur Baia Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | SCM Zalău 3-1 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 4-1 SCM Zalău | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 10, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 1-2 SCM Zalău | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | SCM Zalău 2-3 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 1-0 SCM Zalău | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 4-2 SCM Zalău | Liga III - Serie 10 |
Last archived meeting: SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SCM Zalău score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCM Zalău | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SCM Zalău sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 8 (44 points from 22 matches) and Minaur Baia Mare sit 1st (47 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | SCM Zalău | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes SCM Zalău the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Minaur Baia Mare.
- Where and when is SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare played?
- SCM Zalău vs Minaur Baia Mare is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.