Selangor vs Penang: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)MBPJ Stadium, Petaling Jaya
The Footlab model makes Selangor the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Penang. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Selangor vs Penang?
Selangor starts as the favourite with a 290-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Selangor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Penang have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC(away) | 4-1 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 0-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Pdrm(home) | 6-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Selangor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor 4-0 Penang | Super League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Penang 1-5 Selangor | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Penang 1-1 Selangor | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Selangor 4-1 Penang | Super League |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Selangor 3-0 Penang | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Penang 1-2 Selangor | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Selangor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selangor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Selangor sit 1st in Super League (3 points from 1 matches) and Penang sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selangor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Selangor vs Penang?
- The Footlab model makes Selangor the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Penang.
- Where and when is Selangor vs Penang played?
- Selangor vs Penang is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at MBPJ Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.