Selaya vs Sámano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Castañal, Selaya
The Footlab AI model makes Selaya the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sámano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Selaya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Selaya vs Sámano?
On Elo ratings, Selaya has 1,630 points and Sámano 1,682.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Selaya vs Sámano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Selaya
4-3-3- CCarlos Ruiz López
- GGuille Ocejo
- JJairo Fernández Ortiz
- GGandarillas
- OOscar Perez
- DDaniel Ruiz Carral
- PPablo Herrero Fernández
- ÁÁlvaro Díez
- CChristian Cobo Ortiz
- JJulio Ruiz Barquin
- SSergio Abascal Martinez
Sámano
4-3-3- 9A. Castillo Marcilla
- 11A. Berzosa
- 23J. Ibanez
- 6D. Aguirre
- 10A. Lambea
- 14M. Gilete
- 2A. Abad
- 22L. Gomez
- 4J. Lopez
- LLuis Gómez
- 1G. Masach
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Selaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sámano have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Selaya win, 2 draws, 3 Sámano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Sámano 2-0 Selaya | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Selaya 2-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 2, 2021 | Sámano 3-3 Selaya | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Selaya 0-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Selaya 0-0 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Sámano 2-1 Selaya | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Selaya score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sámano score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selaya | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sámano | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Selaya sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Sámano sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sámano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Selaya vs Sámano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Selaya vs Sámano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Selaya the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sámano.
- Where and when is Selaya vs Sámano played?
- Selaya vs Sámano is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Castañal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.