Match

Semen Padang vs Sumsel United: prediction and stats

Liga 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang

Semen PadangSumsel United

The Footlab AI model makes Semen Padang the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sumsel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Semen Padang wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Semen Padang (1,594) and Sumsel United (1,642).

46%26%28%
Semen Padang winDrawSumsel United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Semen Padang

4-3-3
  1. 9I. Spasojević
  2. 6S. Lilipaly
  3. 91Rahmat
  1. 8M. Hargianto
  2. 98A. Maring
  3. 18M. Kemaluddin
  1. 27S. Tahar
  2. 26I. Cukovic
  3. 73Zulkifli Lukmansyah
  4. 28R. Hehanussa
  1. 12I. Al Giffari

Sumsel United

4-3-3
  1. 22T. Darmawan
  2. 9Juninho
  3. 99R. Hidayat
  1. 10Felipe Ryan
  2. 16C. Bhagascara
  3. 6T. Pangestu
  1. 28A. Satria
  2. 25F. Sokoy
  3. 4R. Akbar
  4. 23R. Dimas
  1. 81R. Ramadhan

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Semen Padang have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sumsel United have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Semen Padang
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026PSPS(home)0-1Liga 2
Sep 26, 2026PSGC Ciamis(away)2-0Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026PSIS Semarang(home)1-1Liga 2
Sep 13, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(away)1-0Liga 2
May 23, 2026Persija(away)0-3Liga 1
Sumsel United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(away)2-1Liga 2
Sep 26, 2026PSPS(home)1-2Liga 2
Sep 19, 2026PSGC Ciamis(away)0-2Liga 2
Sep 13, 2026PSMS Medan(home)2-2Liga 2
May 2, 2026Persekat(home)3-1Liga 2

How many goals should we expect?

Semen Padang score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sumsel United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Semen Padang0.51.742/155/15
Sumsel United1.51.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sumsel United271269403342

A question about Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
The Footlab AI model makes Semen Padang the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sumsel United.
Where and when is Semen Padang vs Sumsel United played?
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United is played on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, in the Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Semen Padang and Sumsel United

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