Sergipe vs AO Itabaiana: result 1-0 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 6Kick-off on February 16, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
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What was the result of Sergipe vs AO Itabaiana?
Sergipe won 1-0 on February 16, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 66′AnselmoSergipe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sergipe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Lagarto(away) | 3-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Dorense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 26, 2020 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Boca Júnior(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Confiança(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Confiança(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Boca Júnior(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Dorense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 12, 2020 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 4-2 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Sergipe score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AO Itabaiana score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergipe | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AO Itabaiana | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sergipe sit 1st in Sergipano (20 points from 9 matches) and AO Itabaiana sit 2nd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | AO Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy