Serra Branca vs Pombal EC: result 3-2 and analysis
Paraibano1st Phase - 3Kick-off on February 1, 2024 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro, Campina Grande, Paraíba
Full time
What was the result of Serra Branca vs Pombal EC?
Serra Branca won 3-2 on February 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 38′Vinicius DuartePombal EC
- 55′WandersonPombal EC (pen.)
- 71′Anderson da SilvaSerra Branca
- 87′Rogério SenaSerra Branca
- 90′Marcelo ToscanoSerra Branca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Serra Branca have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Pombal EC have 7, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Sousa(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Treze(away) | 2-0 | Paraibano |
| Mar 12, 2023 | São Paulo Crystal(away) | 0-0 | Paraibano |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Auto Esporte(home) | 3-2 | Paraibano |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Nacional de Patos(home) | 1-1 | Paraibano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 0-1 | Paraibano |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Campinense(home) | 2-1 | Paraibano |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Atlético Cajazeirense(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | EC de Patos(away) | 2-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | EC de Patos(home) | 2-3 | Paraibano 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Serra Branca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Pombal EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra Branca | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/11 | 3/11 |
| Pombal EC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Serra Branca sit 4th in Paraibano (14 points from 9 matches) and Pombal EC sit 10th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Serra Branca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Pombal EC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy