Serra Macaense vs Friburguense: result 1-2 and analysis
Carioca - 21st Phase - 7Kick-off on July 6, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Serra Macaense vs Friburguense?
Friburguense won 1-2 on July 6, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Serra Macaense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Friburguense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2019 | Bonsucesso(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Itaboraí(home) | 4-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 16, 2019 | Serrano RJ(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Campos AA(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2019 | Tigres do Brasil(home) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Barra da Tijuca(away) | 1-4 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 15, 2019 | Bonsucesso(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 12, 2019 | Itaboraí(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 5, 2019 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Serra Macaense score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Friburguense score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra Macaense | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Friburguense | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy