Sevastopol vs Shakhtar Donetsk: result 2-4 and analysis
CupSemi-finalsKick-off on May 8, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SK Sevastopol', Sevastopol'
Full time
What was the result of Sevastopol vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk won 2-4 on May 8, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 9′Luiz AdrianoShakhtar Donetsk
- 19′H. MkhitaryanShakhtar Donetsk
- 37′S. TkachevSevastopol
- 53′H. MkhitaryanShakhtar Donetsk
- 65′Luiz AdrianoShakhtar Donetsk
- 71′S. TkachevSevastopol
Official lineup for Sevastopol vs Shakhtar Donetsk
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sevastopol
- OOleksandr Kovpak
- MMariusz Lewandowski
- II. Duljaj
- DD. Kozhanov
- AA. Karnoza
- SS. Tkachev
- MM. Ghvinianidze
- VV. Fedoriv
- YY. Novak
- SS. Mikoliūnas
- OO. Chuvaev
Shakhtar Donetsk
- TTaison
- LLuiz Adriano
- FFernandinho
- TT. Stepanenko
- HH. Mkhitaryan
- DDouglas Costa
- DDarijo Srna
- DD. Chyhrynskyi
- OOlexandr Kucher
- RRăzvan Dincă Raț
- AA. Pyatov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevastopol have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Shakhtar Donetsk have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2013 | Stal Alchevsk(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Apr 26, 2013 | Bukovyna(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Sumy(home) | 5-1 | Persha Liga |
| Apr 17, 2013 | Tavriya(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Apr 12, 2013 | Kramatorsk(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2013 | FC Mariupol(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2013 | Metalist(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2013 | Karpaty(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sevastopol score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | 2.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy