Where and when is SF Baumberg vs SW Essen played?

SF Baumberg vs SW Essen is played on June 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SF Baumberg vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 34Kick-off on June 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BSA Grazer Strasse, Monheim

SF Baumberg

SW Essen

The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SF Baumberg vs SW Essen?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate SF Baumberg (1,753) and SW Essen (1,736).

SF Baumberg win48 %

Draw22 %

SW Essen win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Baumberg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SF Baumberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Meerbusch(away)	4-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026	Sonsbeck(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 18, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(home)	0-7	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Büderich(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Biemenhorst(home)	7-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SF Baumberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SW Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	SW Essen 2-2 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 24, 2025	SF Baumberg 4-2 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 23, 2025	SW Essen 2-0 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 28, 2024	SF Baumberg 0-1 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 17, 2024	SW Essen 0-1 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 23, 2023	SF Baumberg 0-0 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SF Baumberg on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SF Baumberg	1.5	2.3	4	7/15	8/15
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SF Baumberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	SF Baumberg	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
16	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SF Baumberg vs SW Essen?: The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SF Baumberg vs SW Essen played?: SF Baumberg vs SW Essen is played on June 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.