Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade 2 Mars, Safāqis
The Footlab AI model makes Sfax Railways the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for EM Mahdia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,227 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Sfax Railways (1,672) and EM Mahdia (1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sfax Railways
Not enough data to predict the Sfax Railways lineup.
EM Mahdia
Not enough data to predict the EM Mahdia lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sfax Railways have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; EM Mahdia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sporting Ben Arous(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Stade Soussien(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Soliman(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Béni-Khalled(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mégrine(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | BS Bouhajla(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | US Tataouine(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Agareb(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | M'saken(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sfax Railways wins, 1 draw, 2 EM Mahdia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | EM Mahdia 0-0 Sfax Railways | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Sfax Railways 3-4 EM Mahdia | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Sfax Railways 0-3 EM Mahdia | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: EM Mahdia vs Sfax Railways on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sfax Railways score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; EM Mahdia score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sfax Railways | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| EM Mahdia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sfax Railways sit 18th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 7 matches) and EM Mahdia sit 2nd (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EM Mahdia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 18 | Sfax Railways | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sfax Railways the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for EM Mahdia.
- Where and when is Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia played?
- Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade 2 Mars, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.