SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stockay-Warfusée: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint Lo, Saint-Ghislain
The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Stockay-Warfusée. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stockay-Warfusée?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG-Tertre-Hautrage have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stockay-Warfusée have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stade Mouscronnois(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Diksmuide(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Longlier(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sporting Bruxelles(away) | 0-1 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Flénu(home) | 3-0 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Standard Liège II(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stockay-Warfusée score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Stockay-Warfusée | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stockay-Warfusée?
- The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Stockay-Warfusée.
- Where and when is SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stockay-Warfusée played?
- SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stockay-Warfusée is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint Lo, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.