Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun FC: result 2-4 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 28, 2012 at 07:15 AM (UTC)Kowloon Tsai Park - Field 1, Kowloon
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What was the result of Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun FC?
Tuen Mun FC won 2-4 on October 28, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sham Shui Po have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Tuen Mun FC have 0, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Wing Yee(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Eastern(away) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Shatin(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 0-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Wing Yee(away) | 3-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Happy Valley(away) | 1-7 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Eastern(home) | 1-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Sham Shui Po score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tuen Mun FC score 1.2 and concede 4.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sham Shui Po | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tuen Mun FC | 1.2 | 4.5 | 0 | 5/6 | 6/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sham Shui Po | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy