Shatin vs Citizen AA: result 2-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 7, 2018 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs Citizen AA?
Shatin won 2-1 on October 7, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Citizen AA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | Rangers(away) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Wing Yee(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 20, 2018 | Kwun Tong(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 13, 2018 | Wing Yee(home) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 6, 2018 | Double Flower(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | Wong Tai Sin(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2018 | South China(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Eastern District(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 20, 2018 | Mutual(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 13, 2018 | Tung Sing(away) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shatin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Citizen AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2018 | Shatin 0-3 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Citizen AA 1-4 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Citizen AA 1-3 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Shatin 1-1 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Shatin 1-0 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 6, 2015 | Citizen AA 2-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 1.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Citizen AA | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy