Shatin vs Citizen AA: result 1-0 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 21, 2016 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs Citizen AA?
Shatin won 1-0 on February 21, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Citizen AA have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Kwai Tsing(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Kwun Tong(away) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Sun Hei(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | Wanchai(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Wing Yee(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 13, 2015 | Lucky Mile(away) | 4-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Wanchai(home) | 5-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Shatin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Citizen AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2015 | Citizen AA 2-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 10, 2015 | Citizen AA 3-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Shatin 3-3 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 2.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Citizen AA | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy