Match

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei: prediction and stats

Super LigaMatchday 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena, Tiraspol

Sheriff TiraspolMilsami Orhei

The Footlab AI model makes Sheriff Tiraspol the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Milsami Orhei. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei?

Sheriff Tiraspol starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,545).

63%21%16%
Sheriff Tiraspol winDrawMilsami Orhei win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sheriff Tiraspol

4-3-3
  1. 77J. Pineda
  2. 19J. Asprilla
  3. 99S. Koné
  1. 2Mamoutou Ouedraogo
  2. 10V. Fratea
  3. 76A. Përgjoni
  1. 35B. Fomba
  2. 29S. Magassouba
  3. 30A. Egupov
  4. 15B. Ciss
  1. 1E. Tîmbur

Milsami Orhei

4-3-3
  1. 25A. Sejdiu
  2. 20I. Souza
  3. 14Philip Odubia
  1. 10R. Gînsari
  2. 22M. Ghecev
  3. 17L. Bulmaga
  1. 2V. Posmac
  2. 4A. Angelov
  3. 5C. Nwanze
  4. 27S. Plătică
  1. 31F. Dujmović

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:13 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheriff Tiraspol have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Milsami Orhei have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sheriff Tiraspol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Petrocub(away)1-1Super Liga
Oct 31, 2026Zimbru(home)1-1Super Liga
Oct 28, 2026Congaz(home)11-0Cupa
Oct 24, 2026Politehnica UTM(away)2-0Super Liga
Oct 17, 2026Sireți(home)2-0Super Liga
Milsami Orhei
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026CSF Bălți(home)6-1Super Liga
Nov 1, 2026Dacia-Buiucani(home)1-0Super Liga
Oct 27, 2026FCM Ungheni(home)7-0Cupa
Oct 24, 2026Petrocub(away)1-2Super Liga
Oct 18, 2026Zimbru(home)1-1Super Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sheriff Tiraspol wins, 3 draws, 1 Milsami Orhei win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Milsami Orhei 0-1 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
Jul 26, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 0-0 Milsami OrheiSuper Liga
May 17, 2026Milsami Orhei 0-0 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
Apr 11, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 3-1 Milsami OrheiSuper Liga
Oct 26, 2025Milsami Orhei 1-0 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
Aug 24, 2025Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Milsami OrheiSuper Liga

Last archived meeting: Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sheriff Tiraspol score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Milsami Orhei score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sheriff Tiraspol2.71.178/158/15
Milsami Orhei2.01.159/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sheriff Tiraspol sit 1st in Super Liga (39 points from 18 matches) and Milsami Orhei sit 5th (25 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sheriff Tiraspol181161431439
5Milsami Orhei18675252425

A question about Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei?
The Footlab AI model makes Sheriff Tiraspol the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Milsami Orhei.
Where and when is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei played?
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Super Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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