Shirak II vs BKMA II: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab AI model makes BKMA II the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Shirak II. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak II vs BKMA II?
BKMA II is a heavy favourite: 1,621 Elo points against 1,228, a 393-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shirak II vs BKMA II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shirak II
Not enough data to predict the Shirak II lineup.
BKMA II
Not enough data to predict the BKMA II lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; BKMA II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Noah II(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ararat II(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Araks Ararat(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Andranik(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Araks Ararat(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sardarapat 2(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banants II(away) | 2-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shirak II win, 1 draw, 4 BKMA II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Shirak II 3-3 BKMA II | First League |
| Nov 10, 2025 | BKMA II 8-0 Shirak II | First League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | BKMA II 5-0 Shirak II | First League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Shirak II 4-5 BKMA II | First League |
| Apr 16, 2024 | BKMA II 4-0 Shirak II | First League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Shirak II 1-0 BKMA II | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak II score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; BKMA II score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak II | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| BKMA II | 2.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak II sit 10th in First League (7 points from 6 matches) and BKMA II sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BKMA II | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Shirak II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Shirak II vs BKMA II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak II vs BKMA II?
- The Footlab AI model makes BKMA II the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Shirak II.
- Where and when is Shirak II vs BKMA II played?
- Shirak II vs BKMA II is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.