Shkendija vs Qarabag: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 5, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
Full time
What was the result of Shkendija vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-1 on August 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′T. BayramovQarabag (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkendija have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Qarabag have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | FCSB(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2025 | FCSB(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 15, 2025 | The New Saints(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 8, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 17, 2025 | Sileks(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Shelbourne(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Shelbourne(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 31, 2025 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 18, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Shkendija score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy