Shodmon Gissar vs Guardia Dushanbe: result 4-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 18, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Shodmon Gissar vs Guardia Dushanbe?
Shodmon Gissar won 4-1 on May 18, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Shodmon Gissar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Guardia Dushanbe have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2011 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 11, 2011 | Xayr(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 5, 2011 | Ravshan(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 30, 2011 | Khatlon(home) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2011 | Parvoz(away) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2011 | Parvoz(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 9, 2011 | Khujand(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 5, 2011 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 30, 2011 | Xayr(away) | 0-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 25, 2011 | Barki Tajik(home) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Shodmon Gissar score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Guardia Dushanbe score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shodmon Gissar | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
| Guardia Dushanbe | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy