Siegburger SV vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 14Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, Siegburg
The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siegburger SV vs Düren Merzenich?
Siegburger SV starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siegburger SV have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Siegburger SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Düren Merzenich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich 1-2 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Siegburger SV 1-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 17, 2022 | Düren Merzenich 5-1 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Siegburger SV 1-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Düren Merzenich vs Siegburger SV on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siegburger SV sit 3rd in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (63 points from 30 matches) and Düren Merzenich sit 11th (38 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siegburger SV vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is Siegburger SV vs Düren Merzenich played?
- Siegburger SV vs Düren Merzenich is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.