Simba vs Saint-Luc: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stade Manika, Kolwezi
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Saint-Luc. The most likely score is 0-0. If Simba wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Saint-Luc?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Simba (1,641) and Saint-Luc (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs Saint-Luc
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
Saint-Luc
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Luc lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Saint-Luc have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Blessing(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Groupe Bazano(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Malole(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Simba win, 1 draw, 0 Saint-Luc wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Simba 1-0 Saint-Luc | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Saint-Luc 1-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Luc score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Saint-Luc | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 4th in Ligue 1 (50 points from 30 matches) and Saint-Luc sit 10th (35 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 33 | 35 |
A question about Simba vs Saint-Luc?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Saint-Luc?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Saint-Luc.
- Where and when is Simba vs Saint-Luc played?
- Simba vs Saint-Luc is played on October 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stade Manika, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.