Sint Maarten vs Anguilla: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Raoul Illidge Sports Complex, Philipsburg
The Footlab AI model makes Sint Maarten the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Anguilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sint Maarten wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Sint Maarten starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,367 vs 1,146).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sint Maarten vs Anguilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sint Maarten
Not enough data to predict the Sint Maarten lineup.
Anguilla
4-3-3- 9J. Gayle
- 9L. Carpenter
- 17T. Jackson
- 22T. Leveret
- 6J. Jones
- 19J. Deans
- 8G. Hughes
- 20K. Lake Bryan
- 13N. Owen
- 2A. Fleming
- 1J. Lawrence
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 12:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sint Maarten have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Anguilla have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 0-4 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 2-4 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | French Guyana(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Belize(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Dominica(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Aruba(away) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Antigua and Barbuda(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Aruba(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 0-5 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Dominica(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Sint Maarten score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Anguilla score 0.8 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sint Maarten | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Anguilla | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sint Maarten the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Anguilla.
- Where and when is Sint Maarten vs Anguilla played?
- Sint Maarten vs Anguilla is played on November 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Raoul Illidge Sports Complex, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.