SK St. Johann vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SK St. Johann. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SK St. Johann vs Kitzbühel?
Kitzbühel starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, SK St. Johann have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
SK St. Johann score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK St. Johann | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SK St. Johann sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | SK St. Johann | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SK St. Johann vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SK St. Johann.
- Where and when is SK St. Johann vs Kitzbühel played?
- SK St. Johann vs Kitzbühel is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.