SKN ST. Polten vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)NV ARENA, St. Pölten
The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKN ST. Polten vs Sturm Graz II?
SKN ST. Polten starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKN ST. Polten have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SKN ST. Polten win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 0-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 4-0 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 2-4 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2024 | SKN ST. Polten 0-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Dec 1, 2023 | SKN ST. Polten 3-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Sturm Graz II 1-4 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKN ST. Polten sit 15th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKN ST. Polten vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is SKN ST. Polten vs Sturm Graz II played?
- SKN ST. Polten vs Sturm Graz II is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at NV ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.