SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ertl Glas-Stadion, Amstetten
The Footlab model makes SKU Amstetten the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?
SKU Amstetten starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKU Amstetten have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | WSPG Wels(home) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deutschlandsberger SC(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SKU Amstetten win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 3-3 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2025 | SKU Amstetten 2-0 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 2-1 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2024 | SKU Amstetten 3-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2024 | SKU Amstetten 1-4 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Sturm Graz II 3-2 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SKU Amstetten score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKU Amstetten | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKU Amstetten sit 8th in 2. Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SKU Amstetten | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes SKU Amstetten the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II played?
- SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II is played on April 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ertl Glas-Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.