SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ertl Glas-Stadion, Amstetten
The Footlab model makes SKU Amstetten the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg?
SKU Amstetten starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKU Amstetten have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; SV Kapfenberg have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | WSPG Wels(home) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deutschlandsberger SC(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SKU Amstetten win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SV Kapfenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg 0-0 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | SKU Amstetten 3-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 3-2 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| Oct 4, 2024 | SKU Amstetten 3-0 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| May 12, 2024 | SV Kapfenberg 4-2 SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2023 | SKU Amstetten 1-1 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKU Amstetten score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKU Amstetten | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKU Amstetten sit 8th in 2. Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and SV Kapfenberg sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SKU Amstetten | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg?
- The Footlab model makes SKU Amstetten the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg played?
- SKU Amstetten vs SV Kapfenberg is played on December 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ertl Glas-Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.