Slovan Ljubljana vs Dren Vrhnika: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Kodeljevo, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Ljubljana vs Dren Vrhnika?
Dren Vrhnika starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,594 vs 1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Ljubljana have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dren Vrhnika have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dren Vrhnika score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Dren Vrhnika | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Dren Vrhnika sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dren Vrhnika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Ljubljana vs Dren Vrhnika?
- The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Slovan Ljubljana vs Dren Vrhnika played?
- Slovan Ljubljana vs Dren Vrhnika is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Kodeljevo, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.