Smouha SC vs El Minya: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab AI model makes Smouha SC the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for El Minya. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Smouha SC starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Smouha SC vs El Minya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Smouha SC
4-1-4-1- 20P. Badji
- 14Mohamed Saeed
- 66K. Mohamed
- 10Khaled El Ghandour
- 15S. Attidjikou
- 11Mohamed Farouk
- 3Mohamed Desouki
- 21Abdel Ghani Mohamed
- 30Ali Gamal
- 4Ahmed Abdel Rasoul
- 28Ahmed Mayhoub
El Minya
Not enough data to predict the El Minya lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smouha SC have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; El Minya have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Golden Gate(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Itesalat(home) | 4-5 | Second League - Play-offs |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Proxy(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Play-offs |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Kima Aswan(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Dayrout(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Smouha SC score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Minya score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smouha SC | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| El Minya | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smouha SC vs El Minya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Smouha SC the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for El Minya.
- Where and when is Smouha SC vs El Minya played?
- Smouha SC vs El Minya is played on November 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.