Match

Sokół Ostróda vs Ursus Warszawa: result 4-3 and analysis

III Liga - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on November 19, 2022 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sokoła Ostróda, Ostróda

Sokół Ostróda
4-3
Ursus Warszawa

Full time

What was the result of Sokół Ostróda vs Ursus Warszawa?

Sokół Ostróda won 4-3 on November 19, 2022.

Goalscorers

  • 3′?Ursus Warszawa
  • 16′Michał KiełtykaSokół Ostróda
  • 31′?Ursus Warszawa (pen.)
  • 78′?Sokół Ostróda
  • 87′?Ursus Warszawa
  • 90′?Sokół Ostróda
  • 90′?Sokół Ostróda

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Ostróda have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ursus Warszawa have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sokół Ostróda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2022Błonianka Błonie(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Nov 6, 2022Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Oct 29, 2022Pelikan Łowicz(home)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Oct 22, 2022Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Oct 15, 2022Jagiellonia II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Ursus Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2022Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)1-7III Liga - Group 1
Nov 6, 2022Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-3III Liga - Group 1
Oct 29, 2022Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Oct 22, 2022Jagiellonia II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Oct 15, 2022Legionovia Legionowo(home)1-3III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Sokół Ostróda score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ursus Warszawa score 1.1 and concede 2.3.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sokół Ostróda1.91.7211/1511/15
Ursus Warszawa1.12.3111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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