Match

Somaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma

SomasporGüzide Gebzespor

The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Somaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?

Güzide Gebzespor starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,548).

Somaspor win26 %
Draw26 %
Güzide Gebzespor win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Güzide Gebzespor have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Somaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Bursaspor(away)1-52. Lig
Apr 12, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Menemen FK(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Kırklarelispor(home)2-02. Lig
Güzide Gebzespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Fethiyespor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Mar 29, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)1-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Somaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Güzide Gebzespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Güzide Gebzespor 0-1 Somaspor2. Lig
Aug 24, 2025Somaspor 1-2 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig
Mar 2, 2025Somaspor 0-1 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig
Oct 20, 2024Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Somaspor2. Lig
Apr 21, 2024Güzide Gebzespor 1-0 Somaspor2. Lig
Dec 10, 2023Somaspor 1-0 Güzide Gebzespor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Güzide Gebzespor vs Somaspor on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Somaspor1.31.658/1510/15
Güzide Gebzespor1.51.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Somaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (30 points from 34 matches) and Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Güzide Gebzespor3416108563158
15Somaspor348620416830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor?
The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Somaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor played?
Somaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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