SONABEL vs USFA: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes USFA the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for SONABEL. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,936 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SONABEL vs USFA?
USFA starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SONABEL vs USFA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SONABEL
Not enough data to predict the SONABEL lineup.
USFA
Not enough data to predict the USFA lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 01:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SONABEL have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; USFA have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Majestic(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SONABEL win, 4 draws, 1 USFA win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | SONABEL 1-1 USFA | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | USFA 2-0 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | USFA 2-3 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | SONABEL 1-1 USFA | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | USFA 1-1 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | SONABEL 1-1 USFA | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
SONABEL score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; USFA score 1.0 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONABEL | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| USFA | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SONABEL sit 12th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 7 matches) and USFA sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | USFA | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | SONABEL | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
A question about SONABEL vs USFA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SONABEL vs USFA?
- The Footlab AI model makes USFA the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for SONABEL.
- Where and when is SONABEL vs USFA played?
- SONABEL vs USFA is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.