Sonderjyske vs Aarhus: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sydbank Park, Haderslev
The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sonderjyske. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aarhus wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sonderjyske vs Aarhus?
Aarhus starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sonderjyske vs Aarhus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sonderjyske
4-2-3-1- 11O. De Rosario
- 8M. Haidara
- 17A. Hoeg
- 31I. Seydi
- 7S. Emini
- 10M. Olesen
- 12M. Soulas
- 3A. Munksgaard
- 25B. Bjarnason
- 19P. Kristensen
- 24N. Shinton
Aarhus
3-4-2-1- 13J. Serra
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
- 23M. Anderson
- 4M. Knudsen
- 29R. Carstensen
- 39Frederik Emmery
- 31T. Bech
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 25C. Rösler
- 14T. Mølgaard
- 21M. Hedenstad Christiansen
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sonderjyske have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Aarhus have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Aarhus(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 4-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-5 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Horsens(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sonderjyske win, 2 draws, 3 Aarhus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Aarhus 3-0 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Aarhus 2-1 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sonderjyske 1-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Aarhus 2-3 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Aarhus 2-1 Sonderjyske | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Sonderjyske 1-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Aarhus vs Sonderjyske on Oct 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sonderjyske score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonderjyske | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sonderjyske sit 12th in Superliga (5 points from 10 matches) and Aarhus sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Sonderjyske vs Aarhus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sonderjyske vs Aarhus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sonderjyske.
- Where and when is Sonderjyske vs Aarhus played?
- Sonderjyske vs Aarhus is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sydbank Park, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.