Sonsbeck vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, Sonsbeck
The Footlab model makes Sonsbeck the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sonsbeck vs SW Essen?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Sonsbeck (1,728) and SW Essen (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sonsbeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Scherpenberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Biemenhorst(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sonsbeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 SW Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sonsbeck 0-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 29, 2025 | SW Essen 2-1 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sonsbeck 2-3 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 6, 2024 | SW Essen 3-0 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SW Essen 3-0 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Sonsbeck 1-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Sonsbeck score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonsbeck | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sonsbeck sit 13th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (2 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sonsbeck | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sonsbeck vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Sonsbeck the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is Sonsbeck vs SW Essen played?
- Sonsbeck vs SW Essen is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 26, 2027Wuppertaler SVvsBüderich
- Feb 27, 2027KFC Uerdingen 05vsSF Baumberg
- Feb 28, 2027MonheimvsSC St. Tönis
- Feb 28, 2027SchonnebeckvsSSVg Velbert
- Feb 28, 2027MeerbuschvsScherpenberg
- Feb 28, 2027Germania RatingenvsBW Dingden
- Feb 28, 2027Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsHolzheimer SG
- Feb 28, 2027Solingen-WaldvsFortuna Düsseldorf II