South Melbourne vs Avondale: result 1-3 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on May 4, 2024 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of South Melbourne vs Avondale?
Avondale won 1-3 on May 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 14′?Avondale
- 51′H. SawyerSouth Melbourne
- 56′?Avondale (pen.)
- 63′?Avondale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Melbourne have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Avondale have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Port Melbourne(away) | 3-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Dandenong City(away) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Green Gully(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Dandenong Thunder(away) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Green Gully(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Dandenong Thunder(away) | 8-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Altona Magic(home) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Heidelberg United(home) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 South Melbourne win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avondale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Avondale 4-0 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Avondale 2-1 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
| May 7, 2023 | South Melbourne 3-0 Avondale | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Avondale 0-1 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
| May 13, 2022 | South Melbourne 4-3 Avondale | Victoria NPL |
| May 15, 2021 | Avondale 2-0 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Avondale vs South Melbourne on Sep 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
South Melbourne score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Avondale score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Avondale | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Melbourne sit 5th in Victoria NPL (41 points from 25 matches) and Avondale sit 4th (44 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avondale | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 34 | 44 |
| 5 | South Melbourne | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy