South Melbourne vs Bula: prediction and stats
OFC Pro LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Bula. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Bula?
South Melbourne is a heavy favourite: 1,897 Elo points against 1,525, a 372-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for South Melbourne vs Bula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
South Melbourne
4-3-3- 7D. Yoo
- 16A. Cocks
- 11Yuki Uchida
- 21S. Pasquali
- 27J. Painter-Andrews
- 8P. Retre
- 4Marco Jankovic
- 17T. Giannakopoulos
- 23J. Eliopoulos
- 3Jordan Lampard
- 1Javier López
Bula
Not enough data to predict the Bula lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Melbourne have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bula have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lions(home) | 3-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sunshine Georgies(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vanuatu United(home) | 1-2 | OFC Pro League |
| May 12, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 2-4 | OFC Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(away) | 0-2 | OFC Pro League |
| May 6, 2026 | South Island United(home) | 0-1 | OFC Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 2-1 | OFC Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 South Melbourne wins, 1 draw, 0 Bula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | South Melbourne 4-2 Bula | OFC Pro League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | South Melbourne 2-0 Bula | OFC Pro League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Bula 1-1 South Melbourne | OFC Pro League |
Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Bula on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Melbourne score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bula score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bula | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Melbourne sit 2nd in OFC Pro League (25 points from 14 matches) and Bula sit 3rd (21 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | South Melbourne | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Bula | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 21 |
A question about South Melbourne vs Bula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Melbourne vs Bula?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Bula.
- Where and when is South Melbourne vs Bula played?
- South Melbourne vs Bula is played on March 7, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Lakeside Stadium, in the OFC Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Solomon KingsvsHekari United
- Mar 6, 2027Tahiti UnitedvsVanuatu United
- Mar 7, 2027South Island UnitedvsAuckland
- Mar 9, 2027Hekari UnitedvsVanuatu United
- Mar 9, 2027Solomon KingsvsTahiti United
- Mar 10, 2027BulavsAuckland
- Mar 10, 2027South Island UnitedvsSouth Melbourne
- Mar 12, 2027Solomon KingsvsVanuatu United