Match

South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United: prediction and stats

OFC Pro LeagueGroup stage · Matchday 1Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne

South MelbourneVanuatu United

The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Vanuatu United. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

South Melbourne starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,667).

67%19%14%
South Melbourne winDrawVanuatu United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

South Melbourne

4-3-3
  1. 7D. Yoo
  2. 16A. Cocks
  3. 11Yuki Uchida
  1. 21S. Pasquali
  2. 27J. Painter-Andrews
  3. 8P. Retre
  1. 4Marco Jankovic
  2. 17T. Giannakopoulos
  3. 23J. Eliopoulos
  4. 3Jordan Lampard
  1. 1Javier López

Vanuatu United

Not enough data to predict the Vanuatu United lineup.

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Melbourne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Vanuatu United have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

South Melbourne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Sutherland Sharks(home)0-0Australian Championship
Oct 29, 2026Canberra FC(away)2-0Australian Championship
Oct 23, 2026Sydney United(home)1-1Australian Championship
Oct 17, 2026Sutherland Sharks(away)1-0Australian Championship
Oct 10, 2026Melbourne Victory(home)1-1Australia Cup
Vanuatu United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Central Coast Mariners(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 9, 2026Central Coast Mariners(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026South Melbourne(away)0-4OFC Pro League
May 17, 2026Bula(away)2-1OFC Pro League
May 13, 2026Tahiti United(away)2-2OFC Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 South Melbourne wins, 0 draws, 1 Vanuatu United win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2026South Melbourne 4-0 Vanuatu UnitedOFC Pro League
Mar 15, 2026Vanuatu United 2-0 South MelbourneOFC Pro League
Feb 8, 2026South Melbourne 5-2 Vanuatu UnitedOFC Pro League

Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United on May 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

South Melbourne score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vanuatu United score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
South Melbourne1.60.959/158/15
Vanuatu United1.61.458/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

South Melbourne sit 2nd in OFC Pro League (25 points from 14 matches) and Vanuatu United sit 7th (13 points from 14 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.

Final 2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2South Melbourne14743401825
7Vanuatu United14347202513

A question about South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United?
The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Vanuatu United.
Where and when is South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United played?
South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United is played on January 28, 2027 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Lakeside Stadium, in the OFC Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: South Melbourne and Vanuatu United