Match

Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton, Hampshire

Southampton U21Arsenal U21

The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Southampton U21 (1,801) and Arsenal U21 (1,770).

Southampton U21 win49 %
Draw23 %
Arsenal U21 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton U21 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southampton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U21(away)0-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Truro City(away)1-2National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-0Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sutton Utd(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Maidenhead(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Arsenal U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Crystal Palace U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Barnet(away)1-5EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026Manchester City U21(away)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Southampton U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arsenal U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2025Southampton U21 1-1 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 16, 2024Arsenal U21 4-2 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Southampton U211.61.5211/1511/15
Arsenal U211.22.057/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southampton U21 sit 17th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Arsenal U21 sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Arsenal U211010111
17Southampton U211010001

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21?
The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Arsenal U21.
Where and when is Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21 played?
Southampton U21 vs Arsenal U21 is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Staplewood Training Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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