Match

Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton, Hampshire

Southampton U21Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Southampton U21 starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,635).

Southampton U21 win66 %
Draw18 %
Stoke City U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton U21 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southampton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U21(away)0-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Truro City(away)1-2National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-0Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sutton Utd(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Maidenhead(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brentford U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe(away)0-4National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Leeds United U21(home)0-0Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026Chester(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Tamworth(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Southampton U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stoke City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Stoke City U21 1-0 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Nov 29, 2024Stoke City U21 0-3 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 8, 2024Southampton U21 5-1 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 14, 2023Southampton U21 2-0 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 19, 2022Stoke City U21 0-3 Southampton U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Southampton U211.61.5211/1511/15
Stoke City U210.92.638/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southampton U21 sit 12th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Stoke City U21 sit 28th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Southampton U211010001
28Stoke City U211001230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21?
The Footlab model makes Southampton U21 the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?
Southampton U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Staplewood Training Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Southampton U21 and Stoke City U21

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