Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez, Santo Domingo
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 W the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Mexico U17 W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Spain U17 W (1,639) and Mexico U17 W (1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 W have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Mexico U17 W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Germany U17 W(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Poland U17 W(away) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | France U17 W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | Finland U17 W(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| Oct 29, 2025 | France U17 W(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Canada W U17(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Costa Rica W U17(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Panama W U17(away) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Jamaica W U17(home) | 9-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Poland U17 W(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Spain U17 W win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mexico U17 W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | Spain U17 W 1-1 Mexico U17 W | Friendlies Women |
Last archived meeting: Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W on Oct 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spain U17 W score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico U17 W score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain U17 W | 2.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Mexico U17 W | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Spain U17 W the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Mexico U17 W.
- Where and when is Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W played?
- Spain U17 W vs Mexico U17 W is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez, in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.