Spain vs Germany: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 5, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Spain vs Germany?
Spain won 2-1 on July 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 51′Dani OlmoSpain
- 89′F. WirtzGermany
- 119′Mikel MerinoSpain
Official lineup for Spain vs Germany
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Spain
4-3-3- 17Nico Williams
- 7Álvaro Morata
- 19Lamine Yamal
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 16Rodri
- 20Pedri
- 24Marc Cucurella
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Robin Le Normand
- 2Dani Carvajal
- 23Unai Simón
Germany
4-2-3-1- 7K. Havertz
- 10J. Musiala
- 21İ. Gündoğan
- 19L. Sané
- 8T. Kroos
- 25E. Can
- 3D. Raum
- 4J. Tah
- 2A. Rüdiger
- 6J. Kimmich
- 1M. Neuer
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Germany have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Georgia(home) | 4-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Northern Ireland(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2024 | Denmark(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Hungary(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 5-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Greece(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spain wins, 3 draws, 0 Germany wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Spain 1-1 Germany | World Cup |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Spain 6-0 Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Germany 1-1 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Germany 1-1 Spain | Friendlies |
| Jul 7, 2010 | Germany 0-1 Spain | World Cup |
| Jun 29, 2008 | Germany 0-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Germany score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Germany | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 1st in Euro Championship (9 points from 3 matches) and Germany sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SpainGroup B | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 | GermanyGroup A | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Spain vs Germany?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy