Spain vs Poland: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup E - 2Kick-off on June 19, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Spain vs Poland?
Spain and Poland drew 1-1 on June 19, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 25′Álvaro MorataSpain
- 54′R. LewandowskiPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Poland have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2021 | Sweden(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Portugal(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Kosovo(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Georgia(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2021 | Slovakia(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2021 | Iceland(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Russia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2021 | England(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Andorra(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 1.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Poland | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 1st in Euro Championship (9 points from 3 matches) and Poland sit 4th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy