Spain vs Sweden: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 10Kick-off on November 14, 2021 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
Full time
What was the result of Spain vs Sweden?
Spain won 1-0 on November 14, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 86′Álvaro MorataSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sweden have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | Greece(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 10, 2021 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Italy(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Kosovo(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Georgia(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Greece(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Kosovo(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Greece(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Uzbekistan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Spain win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sweden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2021 | Sweden 2-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 14, 2021 | Spain 0-0 Sweden | Euro Championship |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Sweden 1-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2019 | Spain 3-0 Sweden | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2008 | Sweden 1-2 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sweden | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (16 points from 6 matches) and Sweden sit 4th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy