Spal vs Brescia: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 12, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
Full time
What was the result of Spal vs Brescia?
Spal won 3-2 on November 12, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 7′D. BisoliBrescia
- 31′M. FinottoSpal
- 34′Andrea CaraccioloBrescia (pen.)
- 45′M. AntenucciSpal
- 85′M. FinottoSpal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Brescia have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Novara(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 31, 2016 | Avellino(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2016 | Cesena(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Virtus Entella(away) | 0-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Salernitana(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Spal score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brescia score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Brescia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy