Spal vs Carpi: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 22, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara
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What was the result of Spal vs Carpi?
Spal won 3-1 on October 22, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′G. ZigoniSpal
- 50′A. CerriSpal
- 68′M. AriniSpal
- 77′A. BifulcoCarpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Spal have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Carpi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2016 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Salernitana(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2016 | Perugia(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | Latina(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Spezia(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2016 | Pisa(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Brescia(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Spal score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
| Carpi | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy