Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Complex Gaversesteenweg, Deinze
The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Mechelen II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sparta Petegem (1,796) and Mechelen II (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Petegem have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Mechelen II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torhout(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sparta Petegem win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mechelen II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sparta Petegem 0-1 Mechelen II | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Mechelen II 0-3 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mechelen II score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mechelen II | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Petegem sit 7th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (41 points from 30 matches) and Mechelen II sit 13th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
| 13 | Mechelen II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 58 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Mechelen II.
- Where and when is Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II played?
- Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II is played on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Gaversesteenweg, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.