Spartans vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Spartans the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Dumbarton?
Spartans starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartans vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartans
4-3-3- 9M. McNulty
- 29M. Stowe
- 11C. Russell
- 18B. Walls
- 4S. Welsh
- 28J. Craigen
- 19Ethan Drysdale
- 5J. Tapping
- 2Matthew Mudie
- 15A. Sonkur
- 21P. Martin
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dumbarton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spartans wins, 1 draw, 3 Dumbarton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dumbarton 3-0 Spartans | League Two |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Dumbarton 3-0 Spartans | League Two |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Spartans 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Spartans | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Spartans 1-2 Dumbarton | League Two |
| May 17, 2024 | Spartans 2-2 Dumbarton | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Spartans on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartans sit 4th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 15 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Spartans vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartans the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Dumbarton played?
- Spartans vs Dumbarton is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.