Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Štadión Nová Ves, Spišská Nová Ves
The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok?
Spišská Nová Ves starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spišská Nová Ves have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Kežmarok have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Spišská Nová Ves win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kežmarok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Spišská Nová Ves 1-3 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Kežmarok 0-2 Spišská Nová Ves | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Spišská Nová Ves 2-4 Kežmarok | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Kežmarok 1-3 Spišská Nová Ves | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spišská Nová Ves score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spišská Nová Ves | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spišská Nová Ves sit 2nd in 3. liga - East (65 points from 26 matches) and Kežmarok sit 9th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 18 | 65 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok?
- The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok played?
- Spišská Nová Ves vs Kežmarok is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Štadión Nová Ves, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.