Spišská Nová Ves vs MSK Tesla Stropkov: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Štadión Nová Ves, Spišská Nová Ves
The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for MSK Tesla Stropkov. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spišská Nová Ves vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?
Spišská Nová Ves starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spišská Nová Ves have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; MSK Tesla Stropkov have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(home) | 6-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spišská Nová Ves win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 MSK Tesla Stropkov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 0-2 Spišská Nová Ves | 3. liga - East |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Spišská Nová Ves 2-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Mar 23, 2025 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 2-1 Spišská Nová Ves | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Spišská Nová Ves 1-3 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Spišská Nová Ves 3-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2022 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 0-2 Spišská Nová Ves | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Spišská Nová Ves on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spišská Nová Ves score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; MSK Tesla Stropkov score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spišská Nová Ves | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| MSK Tesla Stropkov | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spišská Nová Ves sit 2nd in 3. liga - East (65 points from 26 matches) and MSK Tesla Stropkov sit 3rd (44 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 18 | 65 |
| 3 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spišská Nová Ves vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?
- The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for MSK Tesla Stropkov.
- Where and when is Spišská Nová Ves vs MSK Tesla Stropkov played?
- Spišská Nová Ves vs MSK Tesla Stropkov is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión Nová Ves, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.